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In the Newsroom

September 22, 2009
Jamaica’s AIDS epidemic, by the numbers

Micah Fink of the Pulitzer Center on Crisis Reporting produced the Worldfocus signature story “Jamaica’s battle against AIDS fought in the shadows.” He breaks down the statistics that have been used to characterize Jamaica’s HIV/AIDS epidemic and its impact on the gay community.

Numbers, statistics and dates are notoriously difficult elements in any television script.

Most people find it hard to catch numbers on the fly. And when it comes to complex statistics, well, let’s just say that hearing them as a spoken word makes them even harder to grasp than usual.

So what does it mean when we report that a recent Jamaican government study found that nearly one-third of gay men in Jamaica is HIV positive? Is this a high number or a low one? Is just one isolated study really significant? And how does Jamaica’s infection rate in the gay community compare with levels of infection in other countries?

While these questions are too complicated for a six-minute television broadcast, they are more easily addressed in print. So here are seven facts and one extrapolation to help place these figures into context.

Fact # 1: When we say that nearly 32 percent of Jamaica’s gay community is infected with HIV, we are referring to a study conducted in 2007-2008 by the Jamaican National HIV Control Program. This study was the very first controlled study of HIV rates in Jamaica’s gay community and found a 31.8 percent infection rate among the 201 gay men tested. More than half of the gay men tested were between 20 and 29, and nearly 30 percent of the group reported not using a condom when they had sex during the past month. Eighty percent of the men studied reported having two or more male sexual partners during the past year. And interestingly, 33.8 percent of the total group also reported having sex with at least two female partners in the previous year.

Fact #2: “Controlled study,” by the way, means that the researchers linked the anecdotal reports of each individual person studied with their actual blood test. This technique is generally considered a very reliable way to conduct HIV research.

Fact #3: HIV has been infecting people in Jamaica for more than 25 years. The first case of AIDS was identified on the island in 1982, but for several reasons the folks in charge of the national response didn’t decide to study how deeply the virus had penetrated the gay community until 2007-2008.

Fact #4: Only one other study of HIV infection rates in Jamaica’s gay community has ever been conducted. It was done more than 10 years ago, in 1996, by Rossi Hassad, a graduate of the University of the West Indies and public health researcher. Hassad reported that 31 percent of the gay men he tested were infected with HIV. This study was never officially confirmed or accepted by the Jamaican Ministry of Health.

Fact #5: Based on the results of these two studies –- Hassad’s in 1996 and the National Program’s in 2008 – – it seems apparent that HIV infection rates have likely been hovering between 31 percent and 32 percent for more than a decade.

A fly-by-night extrapolation: I had to “run the numbers” for myself to begin to understand the implications of these studies for Jamaican society. A conservative estimate used around the world suggests that about 10 percent of the total number of men in Jamaica may engage in homosexual activities. Given a total population of 2.7 million, and a fairly equitable breakdown of the sexes -– let’s say 49 percent of the total population — we come up with a total male population of roughly 1.3 million individuals. Dividing by ten percent gives us an estimate of 130,000 gay men in Jamaica. Extrapolating from the Ministry of Health recent study means that 30 percent of this number are infected with HIV, and we arrive at the conclusion that some 39,000 gay Jamaican men may now be infected with HIV. Curiously, this number exceeds the Ministry of Health’s current estimate for the total number of HIV cases in all of Jamaica, which is about 36,000 cases. This inconsistency is worth pondering.

Fact #6: The Ministry of Health’s finding that 31.8 percent of the gay Jamaican men are infected with the virus that causes AIDS is alarming. However, when it is discussed in reports to international agencies like UNAIDS, the numbers are played down as a “concentrated” epidemic. But what is a “concentrated” epidemic? This term is how public health official now refer to infections within a specific sector of society, as opposed to infection rates in all of society, which is known as a “generalized” epidemic. Concentrated epidemics are now found in gay men, sex workers, handicapped communities, intravenous drug users and prisoners in Jamaica. However, calling these epidemics “concentrated” seems a bit misleading, since members of these “communities” are seldom, if ever, really isolated from rest of the general population. For example, as we saw above, more than one-third of the gay men studied reported having two or more female partners in the previous year. Clearly, the gay men in Jamaica, not to mention sex workers and prisoners, have strong sexual links to the “general population.”

Fact #7: Jamaica is not the only country in the world now reporting high HIV infection rates in local gay communities. Recent research on HIV rates in gay communities around the world –- particularly in developing countries –- has found similarly high “concentrated” infection rates. Recent testing in gay populations in Mumbai, India, found a 17 percent infection rate; in Bogotá, Columbia, 20 percent of the gay men tested were infected. Two years ago, Mexico reported a 15 percent infection rate and an older study in Trinidad topped the list by reporting a 40 percent infection rate in the local gay community.

– Micah Fink

  • Watch all the Worldfocus In the Shadows video signature series
  • Listen to Worldfocus Radio on LGBT politics and gay asylum
  • For more information on homophobia and HIV in Jamaica, visit The Glass Closet, a multimedia project produced in partnership with the Pulitzer Center on Crisis Reporting

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i wanna leave Jamima because i am a gay an Jamaica don’t allow gay an i don’t want them to kill me i ask the us are Ireland are the UK please help me to com up there


I agree completely that what a person does is not other’s business.
I do believe though that if a man is in a relationship and he keeps info
such as being unfaithful a secret, especially if he is in a relationship with
a woman , while he is putting it in a battyhole and risks giving her AIDS.
He doesn’t need. To come out of the closet and risk the problems he would
have to deal with in such a small nation with big opinions and nowhere to go!
That is the true deinition of HELL!.
Is the 99% of married men in JA, having outside homosexual sex atrue
and accurate figure or the delusion of a homosexual man, that hates woman?



Благодарю. Появилась умная мысль, но нуждается в подробной реорганизации старой идеи, займусь на днях. И сразу поделюсь информацией с читателями блога!


when I leave Jamaica the people were very God fearing homsexuality were not allow. So what happen what change? I think it is the total lack of respect for God and his laws. If God is the creator of all of us he has the right to toll us whats good or whats bad. and if he wanted a man to be sexual involve with another man he would have create them with two sex organs but he did not. instead he create a man with a different sex organ from a woman so they will come togather in love and enjoy sex. because it is un-natural for a man to have sexual relations with a nother man it will cause all kind of sickness. the bible says at 1Corinthians 6: 9-10 its thoes men who lie with men will not see Gods kingdom. thats what the bible say.


blacks around the world and in general have a propensity for desease harbouring and distributing it casually among coinhabitants,swine flue,aids ,and even sicknesses yet to be known,


I am Rossi Hassad, referred to in this article. The study in question was concluded in 1996 (not 1986), and formally published in 2000 in the Proceedings of the 13th International AIDS Conference: Specifically, “The seroprevalence of HIV and Syphilis were 31% and 28% respectively”. My study was funded by Family Health International (USAID), and coordinated through the Ministry of Health Jamaica.

Other publications (full-text) from my study are available from: The International Proceedings Division, Monduzzi Editore:
1. Insertive Orogenital Sex and HIV Transmission (Hassad & Coxon, 2000) Ref. code: 20000709 ISBN: 978-88-3230-709-2
2. Modeling in AIDS/HIV Bio-Behavioral Research – A Multimethod Approach (Hassad & Molnar, 2000) Ref. code: 20000710 ISBN: 978-88-3230-710-8

Interestingly, the current study (Jamaican National HIV Control Program, 2008) also reports a prevalence of 31% for HIV infection.

Rossi A. Hassad, PhD, MPH, LMHC (NY)
Associate Professor
Mercy College


I totally agree with Althea and Renee. Being a young savvy traveler in the travel industry, I don’t see why Jamaica is so distinct from the world of Gays & Lesbian. While 99.9% of the married Jamaican men are cheating of their wives with MEN. Get with the program, This is the world we now live in. I am a proud travel agent, supporter of the Gay & Lesbian world. If anyone interested in booking a Gay and/or Lesbian trip, e-mail me:


The Math for calculating the number of gay men is flawed. I believe the sexually active adult population is what should be estimated I believe this is usually counted as persons 15-49 years instead you have used the total male population what about children?

Is the infection rate among gay men vastly different from first world countries? I don’t thnk so check the facts!


It is sad that Jamaica has kept laws that are extinct in most countries. Having lived in Miami and being to Jamaica over forty times I was well aware that HIV had to be in epidemic preportion. Having spent many years in the gay life when I was younger it was not difficult to recognize what might be called”closet cases.” Jamaica must legalize homsexuality, and absolutely abolish the term and context of sodomy. We have lost some of the greatest reggae artists to aids. Although not believed by the locals, because of choice, all does excist and must be recognized.

Although I now live in Vermont, my heart and sould live deeply in Jamaica. Life is as is. There should be no shame in practicing a lifestyle which is accepted almost everywhere in the world. Get over yourselves. What one does in their bedroom is not anyone elses business! If it is OK to have 10 ten different women at the same time, which seems to be the case-somewhere there is a double standard of living. That is not acceptable to most people. Open the door, come out of the closet. You have nothing to be ashamed of. It is only YOUR choice as to persuing the lifestyle you desire.

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